Will the Fed cut rates in September?

1 answer on this page
Q:

Will the Fed cut rates in September?

78%
Likely - markets price it at 78%.
  • Pushing up: cooling labor market, two soft inflation prints in a row
  • Pushing down: sticky services inflation, election-year optics
What to watch: the next CPI release. One hot number and this gauge drops to a coin flip.
Pick A or B above - or ask your own question